EXT → EQ
Rotation
Model 1 occurs when the auction reaches or extends through Harmonia EXT but fails to establish sustained acceptance beyond the extreme. The objective is not to predict EXT. The objective is to identify evidence that the attempted expansion has failed and that the auction is beginning to rotate back toward balance.
Primary conceptual destination: EXT → EQ.
The Sequence
Price must interact with the relevant current EXT. No EXT interaction = no Model 1.
Aggressive participants attempt to continue the auction beyond EXT.
Aggression fails to produce proportional price progress.
Liquidity may persist or develop against the attempted continuation.
Price cannot establish meaningful business beyond EXT. This is critical.
Flow begins showing deterioration, divergence, absorption, or inability of aggression to continue moving price.
Participation begins shifting toward the opposing side.
Price itself confirms that the auction is rotating rather than continuing through EXT. Only now does the potential Model 1 become actionable.
DON'T PREDICT THE EXTREME. MAKE THE MARKET PROVE IT FAILED.
Invalidation
A Model 1 idea weakens or fails if the market establishes genuine acceptance beyond EXT and continues developing the auction in that direction.
Next: the opposite case — when the market proves it CAN accept beyond structure.
Continue to Model 2: Expansion →